Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds drop 20pp to 70.5% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket's Clacton by-election market saw a sharp 20 percentage point fall in YES price while whale bets moved against the price shift.
Jul 10
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
GPT Model Score Market Drops 15.5pp as Whale Flows Diverge
The market for OpenAI's next GPT model debuting at 1480+ by end-2026 fell sharply despite whale buying, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 9
Breaking
Mojtaba Khamenei’s public sighting odds jump 23pp to 36% with $10K whale flow
Polymarket’s contract on Khamenei being seen by August 31 surged as whale buying matched the sharp price rise.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 56.4 points despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as the market sharply cut the chance of Iran attacking a Gulf State on July 9.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 68.5pp to 11.5% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract dropped sharply despite whale bets opposing the price move.
Jul 9
Breaking
YES price on Trump UFO files jumps 38pp to 74.5% as whale flow backs move
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market surged with whales aligning their bets to the rally, signaling rising confidence in disclosure.
Jul 9
Breaking
Yes price on GPT model debut score slips 18pp to 35.5% amid whale flow divergence
Whales increased bets on the GPT model scoring 1480+ by 2026 despite a sharp market price drop, signaling conflicting signals on optimism.
Jul 9
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds drop 26.5pp despite whale buying
Price on Count Binface finishing second in Clacton by-election fell from 91.5% to 65.0% amid whale buying that diverged from the price move.
Jul 9
Breaking
GPT next model 1480+ score odds drop 22pp to 31% amid whale-price divergence
Whales increased YES bets by $3K while Polymarket YES price fell sharply, signaling conflicting signals in market flow and price.
Jul 9
Breaking
AI model hitting 1550 Math Arena Score by end-2026 jumps 20.5pp to 50.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rise in odds, pushing the market from 30.0% to 50.5% in 24 hours despite on-chain price divergence.
Jul 9