Breaking
OpenAI $1.0T Valuation Market YES Price Drops 20.5pp Despite $3K Whale Net Buy
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 20.5 percentage point decline in the YES price on Polymarket's OpenAI valuation question.
Jul 10
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
OpenAI GPT 2026 model odds jump 21.5 points to 73% with $3K whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.5 percentage point increase in YES price on Polymarket for OpenAI’s GPT model scoring at least 1480 by end of 2026.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket’s Bitcoin July dip odds drop 24.5pp amid whale selling
Whale activity diverged as Bitcoin dip odds fell sharply from 70.0% to 45.5% in 24 hours on $33K volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? YES jumps 18.5 pp in 24h
Whales increased exposure by $3K as Polymarket YES price surged to 42.5%, diverging from on-chain mid-price.
Jul 10
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 31, 2026 Release Odds Drop 16.6pp Amid Whale Divergence
YES price on Polymarket slid from 88.6% to 72.0% while whales added $2K net, signaling conflicting signals in market sentiment.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 46pp to 87%
Polymarket’s odds on Trump releasing new UFO files surged sharply alongside aligned whale buying, signaling strong market conviction.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Pump $1.34M Into France 2026 World Cup Win Despite 38.6% Market Price
Whale buying on France's 2026 World Cup victory contrasts with the market's lower implied probability amid $108M total volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 46.5 points to 87.5%
Whale trades and market price moved together as odds more than doubled in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Net $531K on Belgium to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 2.1% Market Price
Despite a market-implied probability of 2.1%, $531K flowed into YES bets from large traders in the Belgium 2026 World Cup market over 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
AI model reaching 1550 Math Arena Score by 2026 odds jump 32pp to 49.5%
Whales supported the surge with $3K net buys as the market nearly tripled in probability in 24 hours.
Jul 10