Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 75pp Despite Whale Buying
Whales added $23K to YES contracts even as the market’s implied probability dropped from 81.5% to 6.6%.
Jul 17
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 Extension YES Price Jumps 21pp to 74% with Whale Support
Whale buying aligned with a 21 percentage point rise in odds for Claude Fable 5 paid-plan extension by July 19, reflecting growing market conviction.
Jul 16
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 78.8pp to 2.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged sharply from market price, with $15K net flow into YES amid a steep drop in launch probability.
Jul 16
Breaking
Bitcoin $67,500 July Contract Sees 18pp Drop in YES Price Amid Divergent Whale Activity
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?” contract YES price fell from 54.5% to 36.5% despite whales not supporting the move.
Jul 16
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 YES price plunges 75.5pp despite $15K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from market price as Polymarket’s odds for Starship launch by July 17 collapsed from 82.0% to 6.5%.
Jul 16
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Crash 76pp Despite $13K Whale Buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 76.0 percentage point drop in the YES price on SpaceX’s Starship launch market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Israeli parliament dissolution odds plunge 58.7 points to 9.6% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged sharply from price drop as market slashed chances of dissolution by July 16
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump China Interference Accusation Market Jumps 42pp to 75% on Whale Support
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 42pp rise in Polymarket odds for Trump accusing China before July 16, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 16
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Attendance Odds Drop 34.2pp Despite $11K Whale Buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 34.2 percentage point decline in YES price on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding.
Jul 16
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Odds Drop 18pp Despite $5K Whale Buy Flow
Whales increased YES bets by $5K even as market price for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July fell from 65.5% to 47.5%.
Jul 16