Breaking
Odds Trump will accuse Venezuela of election interference plunge 51.3 pp in 24h
Whale buying diverged from a sharp drop in market odds, signaling mixed signals on Trump’s accusation timing.
Jul 17
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
“Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?” YES odds jump 18.5 pp to 82.5% as whales back move
Whale activity and market price moved in tandem on Polymarket, signaling strong conviction behind the surge in Bitcoin dip odds.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?” YES price jumps 18pp to 79.5%
Whales supported the sharp 18.0 percentage point rise in YES price with $2K net inflow, aligning with the market rally.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 79.8 Points Despite $28K Whale Bets
Polymarket’s YES price for Starship Flight Test 13 drops from 80.5% to 0.75% while whales increase bets on launch by $28K, signaling a sharp market divergence.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds drop 34pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?” market saw a sharp 34.0 pp fall in YES price despite $11K whale net buying, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 17
Breaking
Polymarket Yes Price on Ethereum $2,000 July Target Drops 21pp Amid Whale Flow Divergence
The market's implied probability for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July fell sharply despite whales increasing their YES exposure by $6K.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July contract YES price drops 24pp despite $6K whale buying
Whales bought $6K into the YES side as Polymarket’s odds on Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July fell sharply from 63.5% to 39.5%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Drop 41.5 Points Despite Whale Bets
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract saw a sharp 41.5 percentage point decline in YES price, while whale flow moved against the price direction.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 YES price plunges 80.8pp despite $24K whale buying
Polymarket’s SpaceX launch market dropped from 81.5% to 0.65% even as whales bought $24K into YES contracts, signaling a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple’s July 31 market cap odds jump 16.4 points as whales back YES
Polymarket’s market on Apple’s market cap leadership sees coordinated price and whale buying, pushing YES odds from 10.5% to 26.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 17