Whales
$273K Buy on Strait of Hormuz Normalization Defies 0.05% Market Odds
@elmcap2 places $273K bet on a longshot outcome in a $11.56M Polymarket event with 85.6% accuracy record.
Jul 18
#%swhale trade
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 28 stories.
Whales
$299K Whale Bet Defies 0.25% Market Odds on July 2026 Fed Rate Hike
@JAHODA places a large $299K wager against consensus on a rare 50+ bps Fed hike after July 2026 meeting.
Jul 16
Whales
$474K Bet Against Consensus on Argentina in 2026 World Cup Market
A top-performing wallet placed the largest 24-hour trade backing Argentina at odds below market consensus.
Jul 16
Whales
$576K Bet Against Consensus on John Fetterman’s 2028 Democratic Nomination
A wallet with 98.2% accuracy backs a longshot outcome priced at 0.55% in a $23.70M market.
Jul 15
Whales
$704K Buy on France 2026 World Cup Win Defies 2.6% Market Odds
A top-ranked trader placed the largest 24-hour bet on Polymarket backing France to win despite low implied probability, joining strong whale buying in the market.
Jul 14
Whales
$408K Buy on Argentina at 17.6% Implied Chance Defies World Cup Market Consensus
Wallet @TB14 backs Argentina with a large wager against the market’s 17.6% probability, joining broader whale buying in a $134M volume market.
Jul 14
Whales
$508K Whale Bet on John Fetterman Defies 0.65% Market Odds
A single trade by wallet @c0O0OLI0O03 challenges consensus in the 2028 Democratic nominee market with the largest Polymarket wager in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Whales
@Sisyphus. places $550K bet on England to win at 51.6% market price
Top trader @Sisyphus. backs England in Norway matchup with largest Polymarket trade in 24 hours, aligning with whale buying momentum.
Jul 11
Whales
$450K Sell Trade on Norway to Advance Against Market Odds at 34.9%
A single wallet sold $450K on Norway advancing despite market-implied probability under 35%, diverging from whale buying trends.
Jul 11
Whales
Whale Buys $459K on England to Win Despite 51.6% Market Odds
A single wallet placed $1.53M in seven large trades backing England in the Norway vs. England market, aligning with strong whale buying trends.
Jul 11