A single wallet identified as 0x09b4…7320 executed a $450K sell trade on the “Norway vs. England: Team to Advance” market, where the market-implied probability for Norway advancing stood at 34.9% at the time. This trade contrasts with the broader whale activity in the market, which saw $4.46M in buying versus $1.77M in selling over the last 24 hours across 1,112 unique whales, indicating a predominantly bullish stance on this market.
The wallet’s activity today includes a total of nine large trades amounting to $2.33M, representing a significant portion of the $8.54M total market volume. Alongside this sell, the same wallet also bought $459K and $381K on the “Will England win on 2026-07-11?” market, as well as $298K on the same “Norway vs. England: Team to Advance” market.
With a lifetime volume of $20.25M over 5,719 trades, this wallet is an experienced participant in prediction markets. The size and direction of this $450K sell trade, set against both the market’s probability and the broader whale buying trend, highlights a notable divergence in positioning within the “Norway vs. England – More Markets” event.
This trade signals a substantial capital move that does not align with prevailing whale buying behavior and the market pricing, underscoring the presence of varied perspectives among large traders in this event.
| Direction | SELL |
|---|---|
| Market | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance |
| Event | Norway vs. England – More Markets |
| Wallet | 0x09b428f7c2b469786286214aa5c90dd9015f7320 |
| Amount | $450K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/moves · snapshot 2026-07-11T19:14:08Z. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.