$1.25M Bet Against Consensus on Egypt Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup
A single wallet placed $1.25M backing Egypt’s longshot bid, diverging sharply from the market’s 0.05% implied probability.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 28 stories.
A single wallet placed $1.25M backing Egypt’s longshot bid, diverging sharply from the market’s 0.05% implied probability.
A single large $2.93M bet from @elmcap2 on Ronaldo crying at the World Cup contrasts with the market’s 62.0% implied probability, joining a strong whale buying trend.
A $280K purchase by @ferrariChampions2026 contrasts with a 42.5% market-implied probability, signaling a significant wager against prevailing odds.
A major wallet returned after 20 days with a $1.25M buy on Ronaldo crying, aligning with dominant whale activity amid $18.26M total volume.
The trade stands out for its size and the wallet’s 95.2% accuracy record in resolved markets, joining broad whale buying pressure.
A single $1.64M bet on a 0.85% probability outcome joins broad whale buying in the 2028 Democratic nominee market.
A single trader’s $2.65M sale on Egypt contrasts with broader whale buying in the World Cup market.
A $1.00M wager by a historically accurate trader pushes against the market consensus on Belgium’s longshot World Cup chances.