Breaking
Odds for No Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026 Jump 23pp to 34.5% on Polymarket
Whales boosted bets with $4K net inflow as market price climbed from 11.5% to 34.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 13
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Odds Russia will capture Kostyantynivka by July 31 drop 21.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?' contract saw a sharp 21.5 percentage point price decline while whale buying increased, signaling contrasting market signals.
Jul 13
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds drop 26.5 pp despite $21K whale bets
Sharp 24-hour decline in YES price diverges from whale buying activity on Polymarket’s Kostyantynivka market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate vote odds jump 19.5 pp to 33% with whale support
Polymarket’s “Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?” market doubled its odds as whale flow reinforced the price surge.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds Mitch McConnell will step down fall 19pp as whale flow bucks price drop
Whales bought $28K in YES contracts even as market probability dropped from 50.0% to 31.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
‘Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?’ odds drop 15.5 pp despite $129K whale inflow
Polymarket’s YES price for a US blockade on Iran fell sharply from 45.5% to 30.0% in 24 hours, while whales bought $129K worth of contracts, signaling a divergence between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales Buy $256K on France to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 39.0% Market Odds
Whale investors have pushed $256K into the YES side, diverging from the market price that values France’s win at 39.0%.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Shipping Target Market YES Price Surges 34pp to 45.6% with Whale Support
Whales added $5K net into YES as Polymarket’s odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 13 rose sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
‘No next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?’ YES price jumps 15.0 pp to 26.5% on whale support
Whales contributed a net $3K buying YES contracts as the market’s probability more than doubled in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 jump 19.5pp to 36.5%
Whale trading activity tracked the sharp rise in market odds, signaling growing confidence in a high traffic day through the Strait of Hormuz.
Jul 13