Breaking
Israel military action by July 31? YES price jumps 15pp to 24% with whale support
Polymarket’s odds for Israeli military action against Yemen surged sharply, backed by $5K whale net inflow into YES contracts.
Jul 18
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
NVIDIA Largest Company Market Cap Odds Drop 16.5pp Despite $31K Whale Buy Flow
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 16.5 percentage point decline in YES price for NVIDIA largest company market cap market.
Jul 18
Breaking
Israel x Iran ceasefire odds jump 26pp to 75% with whale flow confirming move
Polymarket’s market on ceasefire continuation shows strong alignment between whale bets and price surge, signaling heightened confidence.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus release odds jump 29pp to 74.5% with whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 29.0 percentage point rise in yes price for Claude Opus model release by July 24, 2026.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 28.6 points as whale flow diverges
Despite whales buying $6K in YES contracts, Polymarket odds for Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding dropped sharply from 52.2% to 23.5%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 44.4 points to 95.9% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $10K net buying aligned with a sharp rise in YES price over 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 18.5pp despite whale buying
YES contract on Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 extension fell from 63.0% to 44.5% even as whales increased exposure.
Jul 17
Breaking
Russell Fry Senate Nominee Odds Drop 17.5pp as Whale Bets Diverge from Price
Polymarket's 'Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?' market saw a sharp YES price decline amid whale flow opposing the move.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA largest company odds drop 18pp despite $34K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 18pp decline in YES price, signaling split market sentiment.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus model release odds jump 34 points to 52.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying supported a sharp rise in the likelihood of the next Claude Opus model launching by July 22, 2026.
Jul 17