Breaking
Yes Price for Claude Opus July 22 Release Jumps 18.5 Points to 52%
Whale activity and market prices moved in sync as Polymarket sharply repriced odds on Claude Opus model release.
Jul 17
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Max Martin wedding market YES price drops 27.3 pp despite $10K whale buy flow
Whale activity diverged sharply from a 27.3 percentage point drop in the probability that Max Martin will attend Taylor Swift's wedding.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 45.6 pp to 95.7% on Polymarket with $10K whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 45.6 percentage point jump in the 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?' market, signaling strong conviction in the repricing.
Jul 17
Breaking
Polymarket’s Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting odds drop 19.5pp amid whale buying divergence
YES price fell from 57.5% to 38.0% while whales bought $7K into the same outcome, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin attendance odds drop 36pp despite $11K whale buy-in
Whales bought $11K in YES contracts even as market price for Max Martin at Taylor Swift's wedding plunged 35.9 percentage points.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 85pp despite whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharp market sell-off in SpaceX launch contract, signaling conflicting sentiment.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” YES price drops 24pp amid whale flow divergence
The YES contract fell sharply from 32.5% to 8.5% while whale bets did not support the decline, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA market cap odds drop 18pp to 63.5% despite $46K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 18pp decline in NVIDIA's Polymarket odds over 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump-Netanyahu meeting odds plunge 30 percentage points in 24 hours
Polymarket’s “Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” contract reversed sharply from 38.0% to 8.0% despite whale flows moving against the price shift.
Jul 17
Breaking
Odds that Over $32.5M Committed to Credible Public Sale Jump 27pp to 65.5%
Strong alignment between whale activity and price surge signals growing conviction in Credible sale commitment.
Jul 17