Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 Extension Odds Jump 21.6 Points to 98.7% on Polymarket
Whale activity backed a sharp 21.6 percentage point rise in the likelihood of Claude Fable 5 paid-plan extension by July 19.
Jul 18
#%swhale-flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 33 points to 100% on July 17 on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $23K net buying as YES price climbed from 67% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
NVIDIA 24h YES Price Jumps 16.5 pp to 38.5% with Whale Flow in Sync
Whales added $2K net into YES as market odds for NVIDIA’s July 31 ranking surged from 22.0%.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?” YES price falls 16.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's YES contract for Count Binface’s second place finish drops from 80.5% to 64.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 17
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 31.5pp despite whale buying
YES price for Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 extension fell from 76.5% to 45.0% as whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 22.9 pp as whale flow diverges
Max Martin's chance of attending Taylor Swift's wedding dropped sharply despite whales increasing YES bets by $5K.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus July 2026 release odds surge 28.5 points as whale bets match price move
Polymarket’s “Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?” market jumps from 36.5% to 65.0% with $13K volume and aligned whale flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
YES price jumps 17.5 points to 61% on Claude Opus July 2026 release market
Whales supported the rally with a $1K net inflow as traders pushed odds sharply higher in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?” YES price jumps 21.5 pp to 54.5%
Whale activity and price moves aligned as the market sharply repriced the BTS song’s chances in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Jump 23 Points as Whale Bets Follow Price Surge
Ethereum's likelihood of hitting $1,900 in July rose sharply alongside aligned whale activity, signaling growing conviction in the market.
Jul 17