Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s GOP Senate Nominee Odds Jump 44pp to 65.9%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 44.0 percentage point rise in YES price on Polymarket, signaling strong conviction in Nordone’s nomination chances.
Jul 18
#%swhale-flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Jump 17pp to 83.5% as Whale Flow Matches Rally
Polymarket’s Bitcoin price target market saw YES probabilities surge alongside aligned whale activity, signaling strong conviction in July’s $65,000 milestone.
Jul 18
Breaking
Claude Opus July 24, 2026 Release Odds Jump 15.5 Points Amid Whale Support
Whales contributed $1K net buying as the market price for Claude Opus release rose from 62.5% to 78.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Israel x Iran ceasefire odds jump 19.5pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price rise as the market repriced ceasefire continuation through July 22.
Jul 18
Breaking
Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting odds drop 15pp despite $11K whale inflow
Whales increased YES bets by $11K even as Polymarket prices for a meeting by July 31, 2026 fell sharply from 52.5% to 37.5%.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds Trump will meet Netanyahu by July 24, 2026, plunge 20.1 points to 3.4%
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as Polymarket’s latest data shows a steep drop in the likelihood of a Trump-Netanyahu meeting.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?” YES price jumps 20.5 pp to 54.5%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, boosting confidence in BTS's potential top song status for 2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?” YES price jumps 28.0 pp to 54.5%
Whale activity supports a sharp Polymarket repricing as optimism for BTS’s 2026 top song rises significantly.
Jul 18
Breaking
NVIDIA market cap odds drop 20pp despite $36K whale buy-in
Whales increased YES volume by $36K even as Polymarket price fell from 68% to 48% in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026 drop 15pp despite $11K whale buy flow
YES contract price fell from 56.0% to 41.0% while whales added $11K in net buys, signaling mixed signals in the market
Jul 18