Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 28.6 points to 95.1% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in market confidence for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 76 stories.
Breaking
Tamas Sulyok ouster odds drop 19.5 pp despite $12K whale bets
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 19.5 pp decline in YES price on Tamas Sulyok’s presidency market, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 14
Breaking
Pamela Evette Senate Odds Plunge 45.1 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
YES contract on Pamela Evette replacing Graham dropped sharply despite neutral whale activity, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? YES price jumps 39.5 pp to 72.5%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp odds increase, pushing the market toward a military action outcome.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 53.5 points in 24 hours
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in market conviction on a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 62.5 pp to 81.5% in 24 hours
Whale activity aligned with a sharp shift in market sentiment on Polymarket, driving YES contract price from 19.0% to 81.5%.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?” YES price jumps 66.5 pp to 84.0%
Whale trading activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in odds on Polymarket, reflecting increased market confidence in a diplomatic meeting.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action on July 13? YES price jumps 25pp to 76.5%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 25 percentage point increase in the market’s probability over 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds McConnell Will Step Down Before Term End Drop 20pp Amid Whale Selling
Whales sold $16K against a 20pp decline in McConnell stepping down odds, signaling skeptical big-money flow.
Jul 12
Breaking
Israel military action odds jump 17.5 points to 63% on Polymarket
Whale trades and price moves aligned as market repriced a military action by August 31 scenario.
Jul 12