Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary 2026 Market YES Price Drops 44.0 Points Despite Whale Buying
Whales increased exposure by $4K to YES as the market price fell from 63.5% to 19.5%, signaling a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 15
#%sprice movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 133 stories.
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 23.6pp amid whale-buy divergence
While the YES price dropped from 27.5% to 3.9%, whales increased net buys by $44K, signaling a split between price action and large investor flow.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary 2026 NO odds surge 24.5pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract for no next UK Foreign Secretary dropped from 63.5% to 39.0% despite $3K whale net buys in past 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Odds for Russia capturing Pokrovka by July 31 jump 89.8pp to 97.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic price surge, pushing market confidence sharply higher in a single day.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 21.5 pp to 90.5%
Whales supported the rally with $22K net flow into YES, matching the strong price move over 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 drop 61.3 pp despite $41K whale buys
Whale buying diverges sharply from a 61.3 percentage point fall in YES price, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter World Cup Halftime Show Odds Drop 37.6 Points Despite Whale Buying
The YES contract for Sabrina Carpenter performing at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show fell sharply from 66.5% to 28.9%, while whales increased their net YES exposure by $3K.
Jul 15
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter World Cup Halftime Show Odds Drop 43pp Despite Whale Buying
Whales bought $3K into YES contracts even as market price plunged from 66.5% to 23.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Nothing Ever Happens: July” YES odds jump 25pp to 89% with aligned whale buying
Whales added $7K net to YES as the market price surged sharply from 64% to 89% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Odds for Sabrina Carpenter at 2026 World Cup halftime drop 51.1pp as whales buy YES
Despite a sharp 51.1 percentage point fall in YES price, whales increased net purchases by $3K, diverging from market pricing.
Jul 15