Breaking
Claude Opus July 22, 2026 Release Odds Drop 25pp Despite Whale Buying
Whale flow diverged from price as the market's YES probability fell sharply to 25.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 20
#%sprice movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 133 stories.
Breaking
Mbappé’s 2026 World Cup goal contribution odds surge 77.1pp to 96.1% on Polymarket
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise with $14K net flow into YES, aligning with the price jump.
Jul 19
Breaking
Trump WC Champions Photo YES price jumps 16.5 pp with $24K whale inflow
Whales pushed $24K into YES as Polymarket odds for Trump appearing in the World Cup photo surged from 46.0% to 62.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22, 2026 Release Odds Drop 21pp as Whale Flow Diverges
The market price for Claude Opus model release by July 22 fell sharply while whale bets moved against the decline, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Odds Jump 20.4 Points on Polymarket with Whale Support
Max Martin’s attendance at Taylor Swift’s wedding now priced at 59.6% after a strong 24-hour surge backed by whale buying.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds on Claude Opus model release by July 22, 2026, drop 23.5 points despite whale bets
YES price on Polymarket fell from 57.5% to 34.0% in 24 hours while whale flow diverged, pushing $11K volume.
Jul 19
Breaking
“Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?” YES price jumps 17.0 pp to 99.0%
Whales increased net buying by $17K, pushing Polymarket odds sharply higher in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for French Top Goalscorer at 2026 World Cup Jump 51pp to 92.5%
Whale buying aligned with sharp price surge, pushing the market close to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Bet Jumps 41.9 Points as Whales Back YES with $5K Net Flow
The market on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding surged from 25.0% to 66.9% amid strong whale buying aligned with price moves.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi exit odds jump 46pp to 74% on Polymarket with whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 46 percentage point rise in the likelihood that Syrskyi leaves his post by end-2026.
Jul 18