Daily
Polymarket hits $69.76M volume with 2M trades in busiest day this week
Trading volume surged 39.0% above the prior 5-day average as 62,329 wallets engaged across 517,151 markets.
Jul 20
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
England to Score Most Goals at 2026 World Cup Jumps 68.5 Points to 100%
Whales bought $48K into the YES side as the market price surged from 31.4% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES contract jumps 36.1 pp to 98.2%
Whales drove a $719K net inflow into YES as Polymarket odds surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi Silver Ball odds surge 85.2pp to 100% despite $10K whale bets against
Lionel Messi’s chances of winning the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup jumped sharply on Polymarket, even as whales bet $10K against the outcome.
Jul 19
Breaking
Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver mayoral odds plunge 34.5pp as whale flow bucks price move
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 34.5 percentage-point drop in Allam’s Polymarket odds, revealing conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 19
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 36.2 pp to 98.2% on whale buying
Whales drove $677K net into YES as the market surged from 62.0% to near certainty in 24 hours
Jul 19
Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball odds leap 95 points to 100% on Polymarket as whales buy $225K
The market on Rodri winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Ball soared from 5.0% to certainty alongside $225K whale net inflow.
Jul 19
Breaking
Netherlands Fair Play Award YES price jumps 99.2pp to 100% with whale buying
Whales added a net $8K on top of a near-total price shift, confirming a major repricing on Polymarket.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi Silver Ball Odds Surge 95.8 Points as Whales Move Against the Rally
The market on Lionel Messi winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup Silver Ball jumped from 4.2% to 100%, while whales increased bets on NO by $10K, diverging from price action.
Jul 19
Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball Odds Surge 94.8 Points to 100% on Polymarket
Whales added $202K to YES contracts as the market price jumped from 5.1% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19