Whales
$454K Bet Against Consensus on Tim Walz Winning 2028 US Presidency
A wallet with 64.2% accuracy placed a large wager on a longshot outcome in the Presidential Election Winner 2028 market.
Jul 19
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball odds jump 94.8 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whales backed Rodri with $162K net buys as the YES price soared from 5.2% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Whales
Whale Buys $259K on Mbappe as Top Scorer in 2026 World Cup Market
A $259K purchase on Kylian Mbappe top goalscorer market joins $2.11M whale buying amid 100% market-implied odds.
Jul 19
Breaking
England to score most goals at 2026 World Cup jumps 88.6pp to 100% on Polymarket
Whale activity of $56K net buying aligned with a sharp surge in market odds from 11.3% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi top scorer market crashes 71.6pp as whale flow bucks price move
Despite a 71.6 percentage point plunge in Messi’s top goalscorer odds, whales added $2.21M in YES bets, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 19
Breaking
England’s odds to score most goals at 2026 World Cup jump 82.4pp to 82.5% on Polymarket
A $44K net whale inflow supported a sharp 24-hour rise in the market’s YES price from 0.15% to 82.5%.
Jul 19
Breaking
Argentina’s odds to score most goals at 2026 World Cup drop 63.3 pp in 24h
Whales added $51K net to YES contracts even as the market’s implied probability tumbled from 91.4% to 28.1%.
Jul 19
Breaking
England’s odds to score most goals at 2026 World Cup jump 75pp to 75.2%
Whales contributed $40K net buying, aligning with a sharp shift in market pricing on Polymarket.
Jul 19
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 YES price falls 43.5 pp to 6% despite whale buying
Polymarket’s SpaceX launch market sharply reprices lower while whale flow moves counter to the price drop.
Jul 19
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 28.5 Points in 24 Hours
Despite a sharp decline in YES price to 18.0%, whale flow diverged by not supporting the move.
Jul 19