Breaking
Israel military exemption for Yeshiva students YES price jumps 73.5pp to 82%
Whales added $11K to YES bets as Polymarket odds surged from 8.5% to 82% in 24 hours, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
“No next Google Gemini Pro by July 31, 2026?” YES jumps 66.5pp to 90% as whales back move
The Polymarket contract saw a sharp repricing with whale flows confirming the surge in odds for no Gemini Pro release by mid-2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for Israel Yeshiva Military Exemption Jump 80.5pp to 88% on Polymarket
Whales added $11K net to YES contracts as market sharply repriced the likelihood of exemption by September 30.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 56pp to 12.5% Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Whale investors added $22K in YES bets despite a sharp 56 percentage point fall in the price on Polymarket.
Jul 14
Breaking
UK Home Secretary Market YES Price Drops 65.5 Points Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Despite a sharp 65.5 percentage point drop in YES price, whale trading activity diverged by net buying $1K into YES contracts.
Jul 14
Breaking
“No next UK Home Secretary in 2026?” YES price plunges 59pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s market on the UK Home Secretary question dropped from 91.5% to 32.5%, while whale activity favored YES contracts.
Jul 14
Breaking
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? YES odds plunge 76.4pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract price dropped from 83.0% to 6.6% while whales added $32K into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 2026 plunge 46.4pp on Polymarket
YES contract price halved amid a sharp divergence between whale buying and market pricing, signaling conflicting signals in trader sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz plunges 57.9 pp in 24h
Contrasting whale activity sees $34K net flow into YES as price drops from 95.1% to 37.2%
Jul 14
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 45.1pp to 4.3% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket’s contract on US imposing Hormuz fees saw its YES price collapse from 49.5% to 4.3% in 24 hours despite whale activity opposing the move.
Jul 14