Breaking
‘Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?’ YES price jumps 16.7 pp to 87.5%
Whales increased exposure with $2K net buys, reinforcing a sharp market repricing over 24 hours.
Jul 12
#%sprediction-markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 81 stories.
Breaking
Yes price on Hormuz ship transit market plunges 45.5 pp amid diverging whale flow
Polymarket’s “Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” market saw a sharp 24.5% price drop despite whale activity moving against it.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Strait of Hormuz ship transit drops 17 pp amid whale flow divergence
The market for 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, saw a sharp 17 pp decline in YES price while whale activity moved against the price trend.
Jul 11
Whales
$179K Net Whale Flow Into Norway World Cup Win Bets, Versus 5.9% Market Price
Whale buying on Norway's 2026 World Cup win contrasts sharply with its low market-implied probability amid $129.81M total volume.
Jul 11
Breaking
Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” YES price plunges 54.7pp to 1.8% amid whale buy divergence
Whale buying of $9K into YES contrasts sharply with the 54.7 percentage point collapse in contract price, signaling conflicting signals on the market’s outlook.
Jul 11
Whales
$283K Whale Bet on Norway Defies 5.9% Market Odds in 2026 World Cup Market
Experienced trader @neutralwave23 stakes $283K on Norway to win despite low market-implied probability, joining broader whale buying.
Jul 11
Breaking
Trump housing bill market YES price plunges 53.1pp despite $9K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 53.1 percentage point drop in the probability of Trump signing the housing bill by end of July.
Jul 11
Breaking
Trump housing bill market tumbles 44pp despite $9K whale buy-in
Whale trades diverged from sharp price drop in Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” market, highlighting conflicting signals.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales Pour $683K Into Switzerland World Cup Win at 1.7% Market Price
Despite the market pricing Switzerland’s 2026 World Cup win at 1.7%, whales have net bought $683K on the underdog side in the last 24 hours.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales invest $625K in Norway 2026 World Cup win despite 6.0% market price
Norway's chances in the 2026 FIFA World Cup see significant whale buying even as the market implies a low probability.
Jul 10