Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Jumps 52.9 Points to 100% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price moved in tandem as odds surged from 47.0% to certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 14
#%sprediction-markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 81 stories.
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 53pp to 87.5%
Whales contributed $19K net buying as odds surged from 34.5% to 87.5%, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Contract YES Price Drops 30pp Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Whales poured $59K into YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price fell sharply from 87.5% to 57.5%, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 62pp to 81% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched the sharp 62 percentage point rise in odds for a meeting by July 14, 2026, signaling strong conviction in the shift.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July odds drop 19pp as whales buy $6K into YES on Polymarket
Price on Polymarket fell sharply while whale activity increased, signaling conflicting signals on Bitcoin's July rally chance.
Jul 13
Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?’ YES price plunges 20.4 pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 20.4 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity did not follow the downward repricing on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Whales
$314K Whale Bet on Norway to Advance Challenges 34.9% Market Odds
A single wallet's $314K purchase in the Norway vs. England market runs against the consensus amid broader whale buying.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 68 points to 77.5% on Polymarket
Strong whale buying aligned with a sharp rise in probability for Iran's military action against a Gulf State on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
‘Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?’ YES jumps 30.5 pp to 89%
Whale activity aligned with the sharp price rise, contributing $1K net flow into YES in a $5K volume market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 Extension YES Price Surges 71.5pp to 100%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp market repricing on Polymarket, confirming near-certainty of an extension by July 12.
Jul 12