Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17, 2026 Release Odds Drop 34.4pp to 11.8% on Polymarket
Whale buying diverges from a sharp 34.4 percentage point selloff, signaling mixed sentiment in the $24K volume market.
Jul 9
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Whales
$281K Buy on Morocco in World Cup 2026 Defies 3.0% Market Odds
A trader with 77.3% accuracy backs Morocco to win the World Cup, pushing against the market consensus and joining strong whale buying.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price drops 25.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Whale buying of $1K in YES contracts contrasts with a sharp 25.5 percentage point decline in market odds over 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
Will OpenAI’s valuation hit $1.0T by December 31? YES odds plunge 43.5pp to 34.0%
Whale buying contrasts with a sharp 24-hour price drop, highlighting market disagreement on OpenAI's trillion-dollar valuation.
Jul 9
Breaking
AI model hitting 1550 Math Arena Score by end-2026 jumps 21.5pp to 48.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price surge as market odds near even for AI breakthrough by December 31, 2026.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 16.9 pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 16.9 percentage point drop in YES price, whales increased their net buys by $6K, signaling mixed signals on Iran's July 9 targeting.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price drops 21.5pp while whales add $1K
Polymarket’s market on Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision sees a sharp price repricing amid whale flow diverging from the price move.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision odds drop 25pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract for Citigroup's credit loss provision falls from 92.5% to 67.5% despite $1K net whale buys, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket action.
Jul 9
Breaking
Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting odds jump 15pp to 52% on Polymarket
Whales and retail traders aligned as the market sharply repriced the chance of talks by July 31, 2026.
Jul 9
Breaking
AI model hitting 1550 Math Arena score jumps 17.5 pp to 44.5% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with the price surge, adding $2K net into YES amid $6K total volume in 24 hours.
Jul 9