The Polymarket contract “Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?” saw a significant repricing in the last 24 hours, with the YES price climbing 19.9 percentage points from 78.5% to 98.4% as of July 9.
This sharp upward move in odds was supported by whale activity aligning with the price trend. Over the same period, 34 unique whale traders contributed a net inflow of $4K into YES contracts, with $5K in buy volume and $1K in sell volume. The total 24-hour volume on the market was $9K, contributing to a lifetime volume of $22K across 163 unique traders.
Interestingly, the Polymarket YES price now stands at 98.4%, but the Polydata on-chain mid-price overview is notably lower at 43.0%, highlighting a divergence between the Polymarket market price and on-chain data.
The combined price surge and whale buying suggest growing confidence in Burna Boy’s halftime show appearance at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. The alignment of whale flow with the price increase reinforces the market’s reassessment of this outcome’s probability.
| Market | Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2000253 |
| 24h price change | +19.9 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 98.4% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 78.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 43.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $4K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $5K / $1K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 34 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $9K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 163 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-09. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.