Breaking
OpenAI $1.0T valuation odds drop 24pp to 52.5% despite $3K whale buy-in
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 24 percentage point decline in YES price on Polymarket, highlighting conflicting signals.
Jul 10
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Count Binface’s chances for second place in Clacton by-election drop 29 pp in 24 hours
Despite a sharp 29 pp fall in YES price, whale trading diverged from the market move in the last day.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket odds for Bitcoin dipping to $60K in July tumble 16pp despite whale selling
Bitcoin dip odds dropped from 62.5% to 46.5% in 24 hours on $41K volume, with whale flow diverging from price direction.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 41 pp to 88%
Whale activity tracked the sharp market rise as odds for declassification soared in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
OpenAI $1.0T Valuation Market YES Price Drops 20.5pp Despite $3K Whale Net Buy
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 20.5 percentage point decline in the YES price on Polymarket's OpenAI valuation question.
Jul 10
Breaking
OpenAI GPT 2026 model odds jump 21.5 points to 73% with $3K whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.5 percentage point increase in YES price on Polymarket for OpenAI’s GPT model scoring at least 1480 by end of 2026.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 83.3 pp amid whale flow-price divergence
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw an 83.3 percentage point drop in YES price while whale bets moved against the price trend.
Jul 10
Breaking
GPT model market jumps 18.5 points as whales back higher score odds
The probability that OpenAI’s next GPT hits a 1480 score by end-2026 climbed sharply with aligned whale buying and retail volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action odds collapse 80.2 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market slashed YES price from 85.2% to 5.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Goldman Sachs Q2 Fees Market Jumps 34.5pp as Whales Back the Surge
Polymarket’s contract on Goldman Sachs Q2 investment banking fees rallies sharply, with whale activity confirming the price move.
Jul 10