Breaking
Polymarket’s Bitcoin July dip odds drop 24.5pp amid whale selling
Whale activity diverged as Bitcoin dip odds fell sharply from 70.0% to 45.5% in 24 hours on $33K volume.
Jul 10
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES contract jumps 44pp to 91.5%
Whale trading and price action moved in sync as market sharply repriced odds for UFO file release.
Jul 10
Whales
$1.95M Buy by @Eztennis Joins Whale Flow on Rockies vs Giants Market
@Eztennis placed $2.93M in large trades today, including a $1.95M buy on Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants amid $4.95M total market volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? YES jumps 18.5 pp in 24h
Whales increased exposure by $3K as Polymarket YES price surged to 42.5%, diverging from on-chain mid-price.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” odds surged 38pp in 24h on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood to 87.5%.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Iran Gulf action plunges 87.4 pp despite whale selling
Whale flow diverged sharply from price as the market for Iran military action on July 9 collapsed from 88.5% to 1.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds fall 16.5pp despite whale selling
Whale flow diverged from the sharp 16.5pp drop in YES price on Polymarket’s Ethereum dip contract.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO files declassification odds jump 25.5 pp to 87.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligns with a sharp 25.5 percentage point rise in the probability of Trump releasing new UFO files by July 15.
Jul 10
Weather
Weather trading hits $220K as Taipei forecast gap reaches 2.2°C
Taipei’s forecast spread outpaces other cities amid $220K in daily weather market volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 31, 2026 Release Odds Drop 16.6pp Amid Whale Divergence
YES price on Polymarket slid from 88.6% to 72.0% while whales added $2K net, signaling conflicting signals in market sentiment.
Jul 10