Breaking
Bilibili Gaming MSI win odds plunge 51pp despite $36K whale buying
Whales increased YES exposure by $36K while market price for Bilibili Gaming’s MSI 2026 victory dropped from 67.5% to 16.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
LPL MSI 2026 win odds plunge 57.5pp as whale buying diverges from price
YES price on Polymarket dropped from 70.5% to 13.0% despite $42K whale net inflow into YES contracts.
Jul 12
Breaking
LCK Team’s MSI 2026 Win Odds Surge 43.5 Points on Polymarket with Whale Support
The YES contract for a South Korean team winning MSI 2026 jumped from 26.0% to 69.5% as whales pushed $15K into the position.
Jul 12
Breaking
Hanwha Life Esports MSI 2026 Win Contract Surges 44.5pp to 70% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $31K net buying as the market sharply lifted odds on Hanwha Life Esports’ MSI victory.
Jul 12
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 17pp despite $39K whale buying
Whales increased YES exposure by $39K while market-implied probability for a US-Iran meeting by July 31, 2026 fell sharply.
Jul 12
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds surge 34.5 pp to 53% as whales back YES with $171K net flow
The market for a US blockade on Iran by July 31 saw a sharp repricing alongside aligned whale buying, signaling a major shift in sentiment.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Jumps 76.5 Percentage Points to 83% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp surge in the probability of Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 12, lifting the market from 6.5% to 83%.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping target odds surge 86.2 points to 88.4% with whale buying
Whales backed the sharp jump in probability for Iran targeting shipping on July 12, adding $11K net to YES contracts amid $18K total volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 23.8 Points Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?” contract sees a sharp 24-hour YES price decline while whale activity moves against the price trend.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 91 Points as Whales Back YES by $11K
Whale buying aligned with a massive jump from 2.2% to 93.2% in the market on Iran targeting shipping July 12.
Jul 12