US blockade on Iran odds jump 23.5pp as whales push $26K into YES
Polymarket’s contract on a US blockade of Iran by August 31 saw its YES price rise from 31.5% to 55.0%, driven by aligned whale buying.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Polymarket’s contract on a US blockade of Iran by August 31 saw its YES price rise from 31.5% to 55.0%, driven by aligned whale buying.
Whales contributed $31K net buying into the LCK MSI 2026 YES contract, aligning with the sharp price surge.
Whales boosted their bets alongside a sharp 30 percentage point rise in Polymarket odds for Russian capture by end of July.
Polymarket’s YES price for an LPL MSI 2026 victory falls from 56.5% to 0.05%, while whales add $36K into YES, signaling conflicting signals.
Whales bought $28K into YES while the market’s probability collapsed from 56.5% to 0.05%, signaling conflicting signals on Bilibili’s chances.
Market for Iran targeting shipping on July 12 jumps from 2.3% to 95.7% with whale buying supporting the move.
Polymarket’s price collapse on Bilibili MSI victory contrasts sharply with $34K whale net inflows into YES contracts.
Whale activity diverges sharply from a dramatic market sell-off, pushing the YES price down from 62.5% to near zero in 24 hours.
A $37K whale net inflow accompanied the sharp 24-hour price gain, aligning big-money bets with the market move.
Whale activity supported the sharp rise in odds, with $34K net inflow into YES contracts amid $57K total 24-hour volume.