Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July dip contract surges 15.5pp with $16K whale buying
Whales and price moved in sync as the market jumped from 76.0% to 91.5% YES probability in 24 hours.
Jul 13
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Russia Capture of Kostyantynivka Odds Drop 24pp Despite $27K Whale Buy-In
Polymarket's contract on Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by July 31 saw YES price fall from 66.5% to 42.5%, with whale flow diverging from the price move.
Jul 13
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds drop 26.5 pp despite $21K whale bets
Sharp 24-hour decline in YES price diverges from whale buying activity on Polymarket’s Kostyantynivka market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for No UK Culture Secretary in 2026 Jump 16.5 Percentage Points on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rise, pushing the YES contract from 11.5% to 28.0%.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price falls 17pp despite $22K whale buying
Polymarket’s YES price dropped from 59.5% to 42.5% in 24 hours while whales accumulated $22K, revealing a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price jumps 49.3 pp to 59.7%
Whales backed the sharp rise with $6K net flow into YES as market odds swung dramatically in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 16.6 pp to 91.2%
Whales added $7K net to YES contracts as market odds surged from 74.6% to 91.2% in 24 hours
Jul 13
Breaking
YES price jumps 25.5 pp to 37% on UK Culture Secretary market as whales back the move
Polymarket’s contract on no next UK Culture Secretary in 2026 sees aligned whale buying and a sharp odds shift.
Jul 13
Breaking
Gracie Abrams attending Taylor Swift wedding contract jumps 17.4 pp to 99.1%
Whales contributed $6K net buying as the market price surged from 81.6% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 40.4 pp as whales back the move
The probability of Iranian military action on July 9 jumped from 19.9% to 60.3% amid aligned whale buying and rising volume.
Jul 13