Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds soar 74pp to 93% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement align as market sharply reprices near certainty for diplomatic talks by July 14, 2026
Jul 13
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf State Military Action Odds Surge 38.8pp to 54.9% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price moves aligned as the market sharply repriced likelihood of Iran military action on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 58pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp price jump, signaling strong market conviction in a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds McConnell Will Step Down Before Term End Drop 24.5 Points Despite $27K Whale Bets
Whale buying diverges from sharply falling YES price on McConnell resignation market, signaling conflicting signals in trader behavior.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?” YES price jumps 66.5 pp to 84.0%
Whale trading activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in odds on Polymarket, reflecting increased market confidence in a diplomatic meeting.
Jul 13
Breaking
US Iran oil sanction relief odds jump 23pp to 46% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as the market sharply repriced the chance of US reissuing Iran oil sanctions by July 31.
Jul 13
Breaking
US Iran oil sanction relief odds jump 18 points to 41% on Polymarket
Whale bets backed a sharp 18-point rise in the chance US will reissue Iran oil sanction relief by July 31, lifting YES price from 23% to 41%.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market YES Price Jumps 38.5 Points to 74% on July 13
Whale bets and price moves aligned as the likelihood of Iran striking a Gulf State surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July market YES price drops 15.5pp despite $15K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 15.5 percentage point price fall in the Bitcoin July $65K market, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 13
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds drop 25pp to 37.5% despite $27K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 25 percentage point drop in market odds on Polymarket for Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by July 31.
Jul 13