Breaking
Houthis Shipping Target Odds Jump 18pp to 53.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity confirmed the sharp rise in probability for Houthis targeting shipping by August 31, 2026.
Jul 14
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 53pp to 87.5%
Whales contributed $19K net buying as odds surged from 34.5% to 87.5%, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for ‘No Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026’ Jump 22pp to 66.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rally, pushing the market far above its on-chain midpoint.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 52.5 points to 81% amid $5K whale buys
Whales aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge on Polymarket’s Iran military action market, pushing YES odds from 28.5% to 81%.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Hormuz fees market jumps 15pp as whales back YES with $20K net flow
Polymarket’s odds for Iran charging Hormuz fees by August 31 rise sharply, driven by aligned whale buying and increased volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 48pp to 82.5%
Whales added $18K net to YES positions as the market’s odds more than doubled in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Fed July 2026 rate pause odds drop 15pp despite $1.10M whale buy net
Whales bought $1.10M in YES contracts while Polymarket prices for no Fed rate change after July 2026 meeting fell sharply by 15 percentage points.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 47.5pp to 83.5% on Polymarket amid whale buying
Whales contributed $5K net into YES contracts as market odds more than doubled in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Fed 25bps Hike Odds Jump 15pp to 37% on Polymarket with Whale Support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 15.0 pp rise in the probability of a July 2026 rate increase, signaling growing market conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
John Pardon’s 2026 Fields Medal odds jump 16.4 pp to 97.9% with whale buying
Whales aligned with price, driving $4K net flow into YES as market volume hits $10K in 24 hours
Jul 14