The Polymarket contract “Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw a dramatic 52.2 percentage point increase in its YES price over the past 24 hours, rising from an estimated 46.5% to 98.8% as of July 14, 2026.
This sharp repricing reflects a rapid shift in market consensus about the likelihood of the Credible public sale exceeding $25 million in commitments. The alignment of whale flow with the price movement indicates that large traders supported this shift, reinforcing the surge in confidence. Despite a 24-hour trading volume of $84K, the decisive price move suggests that the market is heavily favoring the YES outcome.
The combined signals from whale activity and price action highlight a strong consensus forming around this event. Such a pronounced move in a short period signals traders are increasingly convinced that the Credible public sale will surpass the $25 million threshold, marking a significant change in sentiment on Polymarket for this question.
| Market | Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845811 |
| 24h price change | +52.2 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 98.8% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 46.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $84K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.