Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?’ YES odds plunge 58.7 pp to 9.3% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged from price, netting $4K into YES even as odds collapsed from 68.0% to 9.3%.
Jul 15
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
China Q2 2026 GDP Growth Odds Surge 59.2pp to 99.6% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour price jump with $15K net flow into YES contracts, confirming the market's rapid repricing.
Jul 15
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter halftime show odds plunge 49.9 pp as whales buy $3K in YES
Despite a nearly 50-point drop in YES price, whale activity increased buying, creating a rare price-flow divergence.
Jul 15
Breaking
China Q2 2026 GDP Growth Market YES Price Collapses 52.5pp Amid Whale Flow Divergence
YES contract for China’s Q2 2026 GDP growth range dropped sharply from 58.5% to 6.0% as whale buying diverged from price movement.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 48.5pp to 89.5% on Polymarket with whale support
Whales contributed $3K net into YES as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Iran striking a Gulf State on July 15.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action on July 15? YES price jumps 41.5 points with whale backing
Whales contributed $3K net buying as Polymarket odds for Iran-Gulf State conflict nearly doubled in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz plunges 57.5pp in 24h
Whale buying diverged sharply from the market's steep drop in odds, highlighting conflicting signals in the prediction market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hike odds after July 2026 meeting drop 28.1 pp as whale flow diverges
Whales bought $859K of YES contracts even as Polymarket prices for a 25 bps hike plunged from 35.4% to 7.2%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Surge 35.5pp to 89.5% on Polymarket with Whale Support
Whales drove a net $18K into YES contracts as Ethereum’s price target odds jumped sharply, highlighting strong conviction in the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 40.4 pp to 92.3% as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp price jump on July 14 Gulf State conflict market, pushing odds from 52.0% to 92.3%.
Jul 15