Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Whale buying of $7K into YES contracts diverged sharply from a 42.8 percentage point drop in the market’s implied probability for Iran targeting shipping on July 13.
Whale activity and market prices rose in tandem as traders sharply repriced the chance of early dissolution.
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise with $3K net flow into YES contracts amid a volume of $6K.
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 24-hour price decline, with YES shares plunging from 54.0% to 13.3%.
Whale activity supported a sharp rise in odds, lifting market confidence in dissolution by mid-July.
Polymarket’s World Cup market shifts sharply higher with whale flow backing the move, contrasting on-chain mid price.
Whale buying of $3K aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise despite a large on-chain price gap.
Whale activity matched the sharp price increase as YES contracts surged from 50.0% to 90.5% in 24 hours.
Whale buying of $25K into YES diverges sharply from a 46pp drop in probability to 22.5% on Polymarket breaking feed.
Whales matched the surge with $6K net buys as the market sharply repriced the chance of no new model by July 31, 2026.
