Breaking
Iran Gulf State military action odds surge 44.5 pp to 82.5% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with the sharp rise, adding $3K net into YES as price jumped from 38.0% to 82.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
#%smilitary action
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 54 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES jumps 53.5pp to 100%
Whale trading aligned with a surge pushing the market to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES price jumps 54.5 pp to 90.0%
Polymarket sees a sharp rise in odds as whale bets align with the surge, pushing YES price from 35.4% to 90.0%.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action on July 9? YES price jumps 54.2 pp to 75.8%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in odds, signaling increased market conviction on military action in the Gulf.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 40 pp to 71% on Polymarket in 24 hours
Whale trading aligned with sharp price rise as market recalibrates likelihood of conflict on July 13
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? YES odds jump 38.5 pp to 78%
Whale trading backed a sharp 24-hour surge in the probability of Iranian military action in the Gulf, pushing prices from 39.5% to 78%.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Military Action Probability Jumps 39.5 Points to 84.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in odds for Iran taking military action against a Gulf State on July 12.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Gulf State Military Action Odds Surge 38.8pp to 54.9% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price moves aligned as the market sharply repriced likelihood of Iran military action on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 71pp to 80.5% as whales back the surge
Polymarket’s contract on Iran launching military action against a Gulf State on July 12 saw its YES price rise sharply alongside whale buying, signaling increased market conviction.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action on July 12? YES price jumps 82.5 points to 90.5%
Whale activity matched the sharp shift in odds, signaling strong conviction behind the rapid repricing.
Jul 12