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Polymarket odds for Iran Gulf military action drop 15.2 points despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from the price as market odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf State slid from 20.0% to 4.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 54 stories.
Whale flow diverged from the price as market odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf State slid from 20.0% to 4.8% in 24 hours.
YES price for Iran military action on July 9 dropped from 84.5% to 12.2% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Despite a sharp 61.6 percentage point drop in YES odds, whale activity diverged by not supporting the sell-off in the Iran military action market.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract dropped from 73.5% to 7.0% in 24 hours while whale flow diverged by selling YES shares.