Breaking
Iran Gulf attack odds plunge 50pp as whale flow diverges from price
Price on Iran military action dropped sharply from 90.5% to 40.5% despite whale bets moving against the decline.
Jul 15
#%smilitary action
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 54 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 23.5 points as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whales aligned with a 24-hour surge in market odds, driving YES price from 64.5% to 88.0% ahead of July 15
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action market YES price surges 25.5 pp to 93.5% as whales buy in
Polymarket’s contract on Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 15 sees strong alignment between price jump and whale buying activity.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 37.5pp to 93.5% as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whales supported a sharp jump in the probability of Iranian military action against a Gulf State, pushing the YES contract from 56.0% to 93.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 40.4 pp to 92.3% as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp price jump on July 14 Gulf State conflict market, pushing odds from 52.0% to 92.3%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 36.5 points to 88.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying of $3K aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise despite a large on-chain price gap.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 37.4 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds on Iran’s Gulf State military action market amid $771K volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 55.4pp to 100% as whale bets confirm move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract jumps from 44.5% to certainty amid aligned whale flow and $672K volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 39.6 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp market revaluation, pushing the contract to full certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 32.8pp to 100% on Polymarket in 24h
Whale bets aligned with price surge as market fully reprices Iran's Gulf conflict risk
Jul 14