Iran Military Action Market Jumps 75pp to 82.5% as Whale Bets Align
Polymarket’s Gulf conflict market saw a swift 75pp rise in YES odds with whale activity confirming the move.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 54 stories.
Polymarket’s Gulf conflict market saw a swift 75pp rise in YES odds with whale activity confirming the move.
Whale trading aligned with a sharp surge in the probability of Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 12, lifting the market from 6.5% to 83%.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” contract saw aligned whale bets and price surge, signaling a sharp reassessment of the risk.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp repricing of the Iran military action market, pushing YES probability from 9.5% to 67.5%.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” market jumps from 8.5% to 78.5% as whale flow aligns with the sharp price move.
Polymarket’s 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?' market surged from 12.8% to 35.9% on $34K volume with whale activity confirming the price move.
The probability of Iran taking military action against a Gulf State on July 9 rose sharply to 54.5%, backed by aligned whale trading.
Whale trading aligned with the sharp 24-hour rise in odds for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9.
YES contract for Iran military action on July 10 dropped from 27.5% to 3.5% while whales increased exposure.
Polymarket's market on Iran's July 10 military action dropped from 37.0% to 5.0% despite whale activity opposing the price move.