Iran military action odds plunge 52.5 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' market dropped from 63.5% to 11.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Polymarket’s 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' market dropped from 63.5% to 11.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp market selloff, pushing the YES price from 35.5% to 15.5% in 24 hours.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract sees a sharp 50.5 percentage point drop in YES price amid contrasting whale activity.
Significant price decline contrasts with whale buying, signaling mixed market signals on Iran conflict odds.
Polymarket data shows a sharp 45 percentage point fall in the 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' YES price, while whale flow diverged by supporting the YES side.
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' contract dropped from 88.0% to 53.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
YES contract price fell from 92.5% to 60.0% despite $10K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals in market sentiment.
Whale buying contrasts sharp 26.5 pp decline in odds for Iran withdrawing from MOU by July 31 on Polymarket.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” market saw a sharp 24-hour drop in YES price despite whale bets opposing the move.
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' market saw a sharp 24.5% YES price despite whales moving against the price shift.