Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Polymarket’s ‘Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?’ market saw YES price drop sharply despite whale bets moving against the trend.
YES price plunged from 90.5% to 28.5% while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting market signals.
Polymarket’s “Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?” market saw a sharp 23.0 pp decline in YES price while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals in sentiment.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 18 percentage point decline in Polymarket’s odds for Iran exiting negotiations by July 31.
The market price for Iranian military action on July 13 dropped sharply from 90.5% to 33.0% while whale flow diverged by supporting YES positions.
Whale activity diverged from price, as market’s YES probability dropped sharply from 27.5% to 4.5% in 24 hours.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract slashed YES probability from 91.0% to 44.5%, despite whale trading opposing the price move.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract sees a sharp drop in YES price amid $14K volume, with whale bets diverging from market direction.
Whales supported the sharp rise with $15K net inflow into YES amid $58K total 24h volume on the market.
Whales supported the sharp increase with $22K net inflow into YES contracts amid $58K total volume in 24 hours.
