Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 35pp as whale flow diverges from price
The YES contract for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? slipped from 75.0% to 40.0% despite $9K whale net buys.
Jul 18
Breaking
Sharp 24-hour price moves on Polymarket’s Breaking feed, with whale-flow context from Polydata.
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 40.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES contract for Iran Gulf State attack drops from 82.5% to 42% despite $10K whale buys.
Jul 18
Breaking
Cook Islands Party’s chances jump 25 points to 75.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced the Cook Islands Party’s prospects in the 2026 election.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for Oleksandr Syrskyi exiting as Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief jump 45pp to 71.5%
Whale bets aligned with a sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, lifting the market's YES price from 26.5% to 71.5%.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES contract on FDV above $10M market jumps 56.9pp to 97.9% in 24 hours
Whales supported the sharp price rise with $6K net flow into YES, confirming the market’s rapid repricing.
Jul 18
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds surge 45.4pp to 69.2% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $4K net buying into YES, aligning with the sharp price jump in the past 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit Odds Surge 49.5 Points to 75.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp price increase on Ukraine commander’s exit by end-2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
Anthropic Fable 5 Paid Plan Removal Odds Plunge 20.5pp Despite Whale Bets
YES price for Anthropic removing paid plan access plummets from 21.5% to 1.0% as whale flow diverges from market move.
Jul 18
Breaking
Databricks $180B valuation odds plunge 40pp to 15.4% as whale flow bucks price move
Whales pumped $4K into YES even as market slashed probability from 55.4% to 15.4% over 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES price drops 35.5 pp to 1.0% on Anthropic Fable 5 paid plan removal market
Whale trading diverged from the sharp 24-hour price plunge, signaling conflicting signals on Anthropic's Fable 5 paid plan status.
Jul 18