“Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?” YES price drops 21.5 pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as market odds for ceasefire fell sharply to 43.0% on $32K volume
Sharp 24-hour price moves on Polymarket’s Breaking feed, with whale-flow context from Polydata.
Whale flow diverged from price as market odds for ceasefire fell sharply to 43.0% on $32K volume
Whale flows diverged from price as the market cut YES odds nearly in half over 24 hours.
The market on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding surged from 25.0% to 66.9% amid strong whale buying aligned with price moves.
Whale flows and market price moved in sync with $6K net buying pushing the contract to full certainty in 24 hours.
Whales added $4K into YES contracts even as market price dropped from 37.8% to 7.2% in 24 hours, signaling a divergence between price action and whale flow.
Whales pushed $5K into YES as the market sharply repriced Max Martin’s presence at Taylor Swift’s wedding.
Polymarket's South Carolina GOP Senate nominee market saw a sharp 19.2 percentage point drop in YES price despite whale flow moving against the decline.
Polymarket’s market for South Carolina Republican nominee sees a sharp 24.6pp decline in YES price while whale activity diverges from the price move.
Whales contributed $5K net buying as the market sharply repriced higher within 24 hours.
Whale activity matched the sharp rise in market confidence ahead of 2026 parliamentary elections.