Breaking
Messi Golden Ball Odds Jump 50pp to 90.1% on Polymarket with Whale Buying
Whale activity of $124K into YES contracts aligned with a sharp 50.0 percentage point rise in odds over 24 hours.
Jul 16
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Bet Climbs 16pp as Whales Add $12K to YES
The market on Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July jumped from 48.5% to 64.5%, with whale activity reinforcing the rally.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran MOU Withdrawal Odds Drop 20pp Despite $160K Whale Bets on YES
Whale buying diverged from a sharp market selloff, pushing the YES price from 35.5% to 15.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
‘Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?’ YES price drops 16.0 pp to 23.5%
Whale flow diverged from the 16.0 pp decline in YES price, signaling skepticism despite price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran MOU Withdrawal Odds Drop 20.5 Points Despite $25K Whale Bets on YES
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as Polymarket’s market on Iran’s MOU withdrawal fell from 32.0% to 11.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Mike Lindell’s 2026 Minnesota GOP Governor odds jump 17pp to 43.5% on Polymarket
Whales boosted bets on Lindell with $4K net inflow, driving YES price from 26.5% to 43.5% in 24 hours
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will John Healey be UK Defence Secretary in 2026?” YES price drops 21pp to 47.5%
Polymarket’s contract on John Healey’s appointment sees a sharp 21.0 percentage point fall in YES price amid whale flow diverging from the price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds jump 26pp to 62.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned as market sharply repriced extension likelihood over 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
“No next UK Home Secretary in 2026?” YES price plunges 39.5pp despite $8K whale buying
Whales increased their YES bets even as the market sharply lowered the chance of no successor Home Secretary in 2026.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 40pp despite whale buying on Polymarket
YES price for Iran Gulf State military action falls from 78.5% to 38.5% as whale flow diverges from market direction
Jul 16