Breaking
Messi Golden Ball Odds Skyrocket 50.9pp to 90.9% on Whale Support
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise in Messi’s 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market, pushing YES price from 40.0% to 90.9%.
Jul 16
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds drop 24.7 points despite $3K whale buys
Polymarket's market on Alibaba's AI leadership at July 2026 saw a sharp price decline while whales increased YES exposure, signaling mixed signals from big players.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13? YES price drops 43pp to 34.5% amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s YES contract for Iranian military action loses nearly half its implied probability while whale bets move against the price trend.
Jul 16
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Odds Surge 50.1pp to 87% on $38K Whale Buying
Whale activity and price action aligned as Polymarket sharply repriced Mahmood’s chances in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 50.5pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract sees a sharp 50.5 percentage point drop in YES price amid contrasting whale activity.
Jul 16
Breaking
‘Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?’ YES price drops 32.5 pp in 24h
Significant price decline contrasts with whale buying, signaling mixed market signals on Iran conflict odds.
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds That UK Has No Next Home Secretary in 2026 Drop 29pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s market on the UK's Home Secretary vacancy saw a sharp 29.0 percentage-point fall in YES price, despite whales increasing their YES exposure.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf State Military Action Odds Drop 45pp Despite Whale Buying
Polymarket data shows a sharp 45 percentage point fall in the 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' YES price, while whale flow diverged by supporting the YES side.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 35pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' contract dropped from 88.0% to 53.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES odds jump 37pp to 90.5% in 24h
Whales backed the surge with a $52K net inflow, aligning strongly with the sharp price move.
Jul 16