Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in optimism for Claude Fable 5’s paid-plan extension, pushing Polymarket’s YES price from 54.0% to 77.5%.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 29.0 percentage point rise in YES price to 75.0%, signaling strong conviction on a Trump accusation by July 16.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in Polymarket odds for Claude Opus release within a week.
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 42pp rise in Polymarket odds for Trump accusing China before July 16, signaling strong conviction.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 34.2 percentage point decline in YES price on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding.
Whale activity diverged sharply from the market’s dramatic drop in odds over 24 hours.
A top-performing wallet placed the largest 24-hour trade backing Argentina at odds below market consensus.
Whale bets and price surge align in a sharp repricing of the July 16 accusation market.
Polymarket’s contract on Israeli parliament dissolution fell sharply from 72.6% to 14.4% while whale flow diverged by reducing YES exposure.
Polymarket's ceasefire market saw a sharp 47.0 percentage point fall in YES price, while whale flow diverged by backing YES positions.
