Breaking
Odds Israeli Parliament Dissolved by July 16 Plunge 65.8 Points to 6.3% on Polymarket
YES contract price collapses despite whale activity diverging from the sharp drop in odds.
Jul 16
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Odds Drop 18pp Despite $5K Whale Buy Flow
Whales increased YES bets by $5K even as market price for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July fell from 65.5% to 47.5%.
Jul 16
Whales
$336K Bet Against Consensus on George Clooney to Win 2028 Democratic Nomination
A top trader with a 76.1% accuracy record places a $336K wager on a longshot outcome in a $42.64M prediction market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump China interference accusation odds jump 34.5 points in 24 hours
Whale buying pushed Polymarket’s YES price on Trump accusing China of election interference to 68.5% from 34.0%.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action market slumps 43.5 points as whale flow diverges
YES price on Iran military action against Gulf State plunges from 70.5% to 27.0% despite whale selling pressure.
Jul 16
Breaking
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? YES Price Drops 34 pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
While the YES contract price plunged from 56.5% to 22.5%, whale trading flow moved against this sell-off, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 16
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Iran Gulf military action drops 45.5pp amid whale flow divergence
Despite whales adding $11K net to YES, the market slashed its probability from 79.5% to 34.0% in 24 hours
Jul 16
PMX Index
PMX Politics and Crypto Activity Reach 44-Day Highs as Composite Dips to 33.1
Polydata’s exclusive PMX index shows a sharply risk-off mood overall amid uneven sub-index signals highlighting political and crypto market surges.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 40pp despite $11K whale buy-in
Whales increased YES bets by $11K as market price dropped from 75.0% to 35.0%, signaling conflicting signals on July 15 event.
Jul 16
Breaking
NYC July precipitation odds plunge 44.5 points despite $3K whale buy-in
Polymarket's market on NYC July rainfall flips from 59% to 14.5% YES probability while whales add $3K net to YES contracts.
Jul 16