Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds surge 45.4pp to 69.2% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $4K net buying into YES, aligning with the sharp price jump in the past 24 hours.
Jul 18
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit Odds Surge 49.5 Points to 75.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp price increase on Ukraine commander’s exit by end-2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
Anthropic Fable 5 Paid Plan Removal Odds Plunge 20.5pp Despite Whale Bets
YES price for Anthropic removing paid plan access plummets from 21.5% to 1.0% as whale flow diverges from market move.
Jul 18
Breaking
Databricks $180B valuation odds plunge 40pp to 15.4% as whale flow bucks price move
Whales pumped $4K into YES even as market slashed probability from 55.4% to 15.4% over 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES price drops 35.5 pp to 1.0% on Anthropic Fable 5 paid plan removal market
Whale trading diverged from the sharp 24-hour price plunge, signaling conflicting signals on Anthropic's Fable 5 paid plan status.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit Odds Surge 46.5pp to 72% on Polymarket with Whale Support
Polymarket’s “Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?” contract rallies sharply as whale flow backs the repricing.
Jul 18
Breaking
Mandela Barnes’ 2026 Wisconsin Governor Primary Odds Drop 16.5 Points Amid Whale-Seller Divergence
YES contract for Mandela Barnes fell from 24.5% to 8.0% despite $2K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 18
Breaking
Anthropic Fable 5 Paid Plan Removal Odds Collapse 28.5pp to 1% as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s market on Anthropic removing paid plans for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026, saw a sharp drop in YES price despite whale activity opposing the move.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES price on next Claude Opus release jumps 18pp to 58.5% as whale flow backs move
Polymarket’s “Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?” market climbed from 40.5% to 58.5% YES in 24 hours with whale bets reinforcing the shift.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi exit odds jump 41pp to 69.5% on Polymarket with whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 41.0 percentage point rise in the probability that Syrskyi will be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by end of 2026.
Jul 18