Markets
Argentina’s 2026 World Cup Market Hits $158.59M, Yes at 40.2%
The largest sports market on Polymarket nears its close with high stakes and significant trader concentration.
Jul 18
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s Nomination Odds Drop 19.2 Points Amid Whale Divergence
Polymarket's South Carolina GOP Senate nominee market saw a sharp 19.2 percentage point drop in YES price despite whale flow moving against the decline.
Jul 18
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone Senate Nominee Odds Drop 24.6pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket’s market for South Carolina Republican nominee sees a sharp 24.6pp decline in YES price while whale activity diverges from the price move.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?” YES price jumps 39 pp to 98%
Whales contributed $5K net buying as the market sharply repriced higher within 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Cook Islands Party’s odds surge 28.5pp to 79.5% on Polymarket in 24h
Whale activity matched the sharp rise in market confidence ahead of 2026 parliamentary elections.
Jul 18
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 35pp as whale flow diverges from price
The YES contract for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15? slipped from 75.0% to 40.0% despite $9K whale net buys.
Jul 18
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 40.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES contract for Iran Gulf State attack drops from 82.5% to 42% despite $10K whale buys.
Jul 18
Breaking
Cook Islands Party’s chances jump 25 points to 75.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced the Cook Islands Party’s prospects in the 2026 election.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for Oleksandr Syrskyi exiting as Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief jump 45pp to 71.5%
Whale bets aligned with a sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, lifting the market's YES price from 26.5% to 71.5%.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES contract on FDV above $10M market jumps 56.9pp to 97.9% in 24 hours
Whales supported the sharp price rise with $6K net flow into YES, confirming the market’s rapid repricing.
Jul 18