Breaking
Trump UFO declassification odds jump 43.5 points to 83% as whales back the move
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market surged sharply with whale activity confirming the price rally.
Jul 10
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
GPT Model Score Market Drops 15.5pp as Whale Flows Diverge
The market for OpenAI's next GPT model debuting at 1480+ by end-2026 fell sharply despite whale buying, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 9
Breaking
French 2026 United Left Primary Cancellation Odds Jump 15.5pp With Whale Support
YES price for cancellation rose from 49.5% to 65.0% as whales contributed $7K net flow aligned with the price move.
Jul 9
Breaking
Mojtaba Khamenei’s public sighting odds jump 23pp to 36% with $10K whale flow
Polymarket’s contract on Khamenei being seen by August 31 surged as whale buying matched the sharp price rise.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 51pp to 87.5%
Polymarket’s odds surged sharply as whale activity supported the move, with $24K traded in 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 56.4 points despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as the market sharply cut the chance of Iran attacking a Gulf State on July 9.
Jul 9
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Declassification Odds Surge 54pp to 90.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity confirmed the sharp repricing in the “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market, aligning with a $24K volume surge.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 68.5pp to 11.5% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract dropped sharply despite whale bets opposing the price move.
Jul 9
Whales
$2.34M Buy on Ronaldo Crying at World Cup Challenges 68.5% Market Odds
Whale wallet @meetgoodlife bets big on Ronaldo crying, joining broader whale buying despite market pricing the outcome as likely.
Jul 9
Breaking
Trump UFO files declassification odds jump 48pp to 84.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched a sharp 48 percentage point rise in the market’s probability for declassification by mid-July.
Jul 9