Breaking
French 2026 United Left Primary Cancellation YES Price Jumps 18.5 pp to 68% on Whale Support
Whales contributed $7K net buying as the market's odds shifted sharply higher, with on-chain price diverging from Polydata's overview.
Jul 10
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Collapses 77.8 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket's odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 9 dropped sharply despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Net $531K on Belgium to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 2.1% Market Price
Despite a market-implied probability of 2.1%, $531K flowed into YES bets from large traders in the Belgium 2026 World Cup market over 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
OpenAI $1.0T valuation market YES price drops 28.5 pp amid whale-flow divergence
Whales increased YES bets by $2K even as contract price fell from 76.5% to 48.0% in 24 hours, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” odds plunge 71.5pp to 10.5% on Polymarket
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw a sharp 71.5 percentage point drop in YES price despite whale activity diverging from the price move.
Jul 10
Breaking
AI model reaching 1550 Math Arena Score by 2026 odds jump 32pp to 49.5%
Whales supported the surge with $3K net buys as the market nearly tripled in probability in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action on July 9? YES price plunges 61.6pp amid opposing whale flow
Despite a sharp 61.6 percentage point drop in YES odds, whale activity diverged by not supporting the sell-off in the Iran military action market.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds drop 20pp to 70.5% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket's Clacton by-election market saw a sharp 20 percentage point fall in YES price while whale bets moved against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
YES price on Iran Gulf military action plunges 66.5 points despite whale selling
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract dropped from 73.5% to 7.0% in 24 hours while whale flow diverged by selling YES shares.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July dip odds drop 15.5 pp as whale flow diverges on Polymarket
Polymarket’s 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?' market saw a sharp 15.5 percentage point fall in YES price amid opposing whale activity.
Jul 10