Breaking
Bitcoin $65,000 July Odds Jump 20pp to 80.5% on Polymarket
Whale flows and price moves aligned as confidence surged sharply in Bitcoin hitting $65,000 this month.
Jul 10
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 46pp to 87%
Polymarket’s odds on Trump releasing new UFO files surged sharply alongside aligned whale buying, signaling strong market conviction.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July dip odds fall 24pp as whale flow diverges from price
Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July contract on Polymarket dropped from 72.5% to 48.5% despite whale inactivity, signaling retail-driven repricing.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market YES Price Jumps 42.5 Points to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 42.5 percentage point rise in odds for UFO file declassification by July 15.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Pump $1.34M Into France 2026 World Cup Win Despite 38.6% Market Price
Whale buying on France's 2026 World Cup victory contrasts with the market's lower implied probability amid $108M total volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s odds for second place in Clacton plunge 25.5 points to 65%
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as Polymarket cut the implied probability for Binface’s finish
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s odds for second place in Clacton plunge 30.5 points despite whale selling
Polymarket’s market on Count Binface’s by-election finish drops from 90.5% to 60.0% as whale flow moves against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action on July 9? YES price plunges 91.2 pp to 4.2% amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw its YES price collapse from 95.5% to 4.2% despite whales not supporting the move.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds drop 17pp to 73.5% despite whale buying
Polymarket's Clacton by-election market sees a sharp 17pp decline in YES price, while whale flow diverges by net buying into YES.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 46.5 points to 87.5%
Whale trades and market price moved together as odds more than doubled in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 10