Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Iran Gulf action plunges 87.4 pp despite whale selling
Whale flow diverged sharply from price as the market for Iran military action on July 9 collapsed from 88.5% to 1.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds fall 16.5pp despite whale selling
Whale flow diverged from the sharp 16.5pp drop in YES price on Polymarket’s Ethereum dip contract.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO files declassification odds jump 25.5 pp to 87.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligns with a sharp 25.5 percentage point rise in the probability of Trump releasing new UFO files by July 15.
Jul 10
Weather
Weather trading hits $220K as Taipei forecast gap reaches 2.2°C
Taipei’s forecast spread outpaces other cities amid $220K in daily weather market volume.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Pour $1.26M Into Morocco Win Market Despite 0.05% Price
Large traders are heavily backing Morocco to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup even as the market assigns it a near-zero chance, highlighting a stark divergence between whale bets and crowd consensus.
Jul 10
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 31, 2026 Release Odds Drop 16.6pp Amid Whale Divergence
YES price on Polymarket slid from 88.6% to 72.0% while whales added $2K net, signaling conflicting signals in market sentiment.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market Jumps 39.5pp to 87.5% as Whale Bets Align
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” market surged alongside whale bets, signaling strong conviction in a near-term release.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $60,000 July dip odds plunge 30pp as whale flow diverges on Polymarket
Polymarket’s 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?' YES contract dropped from 76.5% to 46.5% despite whale inactivity, signaling retail-driven sell-off.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds collapse 92.5 pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a steep 24-hour drop in the Iran Gulf military action market, signaling conflicting trader signals.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 dip odds drop 15pp to 74.5% despite whale divergence
Polymarket’s Ethereum July dip market saw a significant price drop while whale activity moved against the trend, signaling uncertainty among large traders.
Jul 10